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Brent struggles below 200-day average after September weakness – Société Générale

Brent crude is stabilizing after last month’s trough near $60, but a break above key resistance is needed to confirm a sustained rebound, Société Générale's FX analysts note.

Interim low at $60.10 holds for now

"Brent struggled to overcome the 200-DMA in September resulting in a steady decline. It has carved out an interim trough at $60.10 last month. The down move has stalled however a move beyond recent pivot high and the moving average near $66.80/67.50 would be crucial for confirming an extended rebound."

"If Brent fails to overcome this hurdle, the phase of decline could persist. Break below $60.10 may lead to a deeper down move towards April / May lows of $58.40."

DXY: Noise from Fedspeaks might diminish – OCBC

US Dollar (USD) continued to trade near recent highs, in response to Dec meeting expectations which had remain fluid. More data is coming in while comments from Fed officials continue to paint a divergence in opinions.
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EUR: Lower energy costs lift euro’s terms of trade to yearly high – ING

European natural gas prices have fallen below EUR 30/MWh for the first time since May, boosting Europe’s terms of trade and offering relief to its struggling manufacturing sector, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
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