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23 Apr 2015
GBP/USD technicals warn of upside risk – Scotiabank
FXStreet (Barcelona) - Camilla Sutton CFA, CMT, Chief FX Strategist at Scotiabank, notes short-term technicals for GBP/USD remain bullish and warn of building upside risk, with next resistance at 1.5166.
Key Quotes
“GBP is down 0.2% into the NA session, having failed yesterday to close above its 50‐day MA at 1.5030. Retail sales was disappointing, rising just 0.2%m/m ex auto and falling –0.5%m/m including autos. The soft release is not enough to shift the course of growth in the UK, but does provide reason to be cautious.”
“Our base case is that GBP is vulnerable leading into the election uncertainty but that it closes the year having stabilized against the USD and gained further ground against EUR.”
“GBPUSD short‐term technicals: bullish—technicals are warning of upside GBP risk, with the MACD moving averages, candle chart and recent trend all suggestive of upside risk. Support lies at yesterday’s open of 1.4926, with resistance at the March 18th high of 1.5166.”
Key Quotes
“GBP is down 0.2% into the NA session, having failed yesterday to close above its 50‐day MA at 1.5030. Retail sales was disappointing, rising just 0.2%m/m ex auto and falling –0.5%m/m including autos. The soft release is not enough to shift the course of growth in the UK, but does provide reason to be cautious.”
“Our base case is that GBP is vulnerable leading into the election uncertainty but that it closes the year having stabilized against the USD and gained further ground against EUR.”
“GBPUSD short‐term technicals: bullish—technicals are warning of upside GBP risk, with the MACD moving averages, candle chart and recent trend all suggestive of upside risk. Support lies at yesterday’s open of 1.4926, with resistance at the March 18th high of 1.5166.”