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BoJ unlikely to trigger fresh JPY selling in the week ahead – BTMU
FXStreet (Barcelona) - The Research Team at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, maintains a neutral bias for USD/JPY for the week ahead, expecting the pair to maintain the 117.50-121.50 range.
Key Quotes
“The release of the latest US GDP report, FOMC statement, and BoJ’s semi-annual economic review will impact USD/JPY direction in the week ahead. The flash GDP report is expected to confirm that the US economy started the year poorly. We expect the slowdown to prove temporary.”
“The FOMC statement may express a less favourable assessment of the economy following the weaker than expected payrolls report for March which could weigh modestly on the US dollar.”
“We expect the BoJ to disappoint some expectations for further easing at next week’s policy meeting. BoJ Governor Kuroda is unlikely to change his bullish stance on the Japanese economy and hence will keep the present monetary policy stance. The March Tankan survey supported his bullish view especially the inflation expectations of Japanese companies which did not wane.”
“Nevertheless the BoJ is likely to lower its outlook for inflation modestly which may help to dampen the scope for any yen strength on the back of no change in monetary policy.”
“We expect as well yen selling by Japanese corporate and investors to provide support for USD/JPY at around the 117.50-level.”
