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Noticias de trading
3 Aug 2017
Oil prices remain a key NOK driver - Nomura
Analysts at Nomura noted that since June 2016, Norges Bank rate hike expectations have made a significant turnaround, from pricing in cuts to now pricing in over 50bp of hikes for the next two years.
Key Quotes:
"Norwegian economic fundamentals are strong, but we think the market’s pricing is now looking stretched and should be opposed.
Meanwhile, the Swedish economy has a positive output gap, and core inflation is much higher.
Oil prices remain a key NOK driver, but we argue the outlook is turning more negative.
We recommend short NOK/SEK positions at current levels."